Showing posts with label National League West. Show all posts
Showing posts with label National League West. Show all posts

Tuesday, July 23, 2013

Looking Back At My Pre-Season Predictions 100 Games In

Hot on the heels of giving those darn Red Sox credit (Giving The Bad Guys Their Due) for their amazing 2013 season and on my earlier post where I went back to look at my predictions after 30 games (A View of the Standings Almost 30 Games Into 2013) here I go looking at my predictions with a little more than 100 games played in the season.

Here is what the standings currently look like as the afternoon of July 23 (Courtesy of Yahoo Sports):

 American League
 EastWLPctGBHomeRoadRSRADiffStreakL10
 Boston Red Sox6041.594--33-1827-23512424+88Lost 16-4
 Tampa Bay Rays5941.5900.534-1925-22468400+68Won 69-1
 Baltimore Orioles5743.5702.529-2028-23485444+41Won 58-2
 New York Yankees5247.5257.028-2324-24387392-5Lost 24-6
 Toronto Blue Jays4553.45913.525-2520-28444470-26Lost 52-8
 CentralWLPctGBHomeRoadRSRADiffStreakL10
 Detroit Tigers5444.551--29-1925-25493399+94Won 25-5
 Cleveland Indians5247.5252.530-1922-28466438+28Lost 16-4
 Kansas City Royals4551.4698.024-2421-27375391-16Lost 23-7
 Minnesota Twins4254.43811.023-2419-30390441-51Won 15-5
 Chicago White Sox3957.40614.021-2318-34365425-60Lost 15-5
 WestWLPctGBHomeRoadRSRADiffStreakL10
 Oakland Athletics5841.586--30-1528-26440376+64Won 26-4
 Texas Rangers5544.5563.028-2227-22421402+19Won 13-7
 Seattle Mariners4752.47511.026-2521-27401443-42Won 77-3
 Los Angeles Angels4651.47411.026-2720-24439445-6Lost 24-6
 Houston Astros3365.33724.517-3616-29368524-156Lost 61-9
 National League
 EastWLPctGBHomeRoadRSRADiffStreakL10
 Atlanta Braves5643.566--31-1525-28430355+75Won 15-5
 Philadelphia Phillies4950.4957.026-2123-29388434-46Lost 26-4
 Washington Nationals4851.4858.027-2221-29367392-25Lost 42-8
 New York Mets4352.45311.019-2924-23395422-27Lost 16-4
 Miami Marlins3661.37119.021-2715-34309405-96Won 14-6
 CentralWLPctGBHomeRoadRSRADiffStreakL10
 St. Louis Cardinals5937.615--29-1730-20477348+129Won 17-3
 Pittsburgh Pirates5839.5981.532-1826-21373328+45Won 25-5
 Cincinnati Reds5643.5664.532-1724-26436360+76Won 16-4
 Chicago Cubs4453.45415.522-2622-27397410-13Won 15-5
 Milwaukee Brewers4157.41819.025-2716-30381439-58Lost 15-5
 WestWLPctGBHomeRoadRSRADiffStreakL10
 Los Angeles Dodgers5147.520--27-2324-24389388+1Won 48-2
 Arizona Diamondbacks5148.5150.527-2124-27407401+6Lost 14-6
 Colorado Rockies4852.4804.028-2320-29441437+4Lost 15-5
 San Francisco Giants4553.4596.027-2218-31385435-50Lost 25-5
 San Diego Padres4456.4408.027-2317-33397458-61Won 14-6
x-Clinched Playoff Spot; y-Division Champ
Last updated Tuesday, Jul 23, 2013 1:16 pm EDT

If the season ended today, my predictions would still be off. LOL. In the AL East, the Red Sox and Blue Jays went and screwed up by playing against expectations. (Rays, Orioles, Blue Jays, Yankees and Red Sox). In the Central, the Indians and White Sox have screwed me over (Tigers, White Sox, Royals, Indians and Twins). In the West, we all know how bad the Angels have played so in doing so they ruined the order of my predictions (Angels, Rangers, Oakland, Mariners, Astros).

In my last post, I was doing better with the predictions so let's see where we stand now. In the NL East, the Nationals are really taking a helluva nose dive both in the standings and in my predictions (Nationals, Braves, Phillies, Mets and Marlins). In the Central, those pesky Pirates are disrupting the order I came up with (Cardinals, Reds, Pirates, Brewers and Cubs). In the wild and wooly West, where it seems like no one wants to win the division everything is just head over heels in terms of what I predicted except for Padres who are in last place (Giants, Dodgers, Diamondbacks, Rockies and Padres).

Luckily for me I don't make a living off of prognosticating Baseball standings. We'll see how things end up before I tap out.

Sisco Kid

Friday, May 3, 2013

A View of the Standings Almost 30 Games Into 2013

I think I'm going to take a peek into my predictions at random points during the season to see how badly I made my picks in both the American and National League Standings. So at the point of game 30 for most teams, here is how the standings look (courtesy of Yahoo Sports):

 American League
 EastWLPctGBHomeRoadRSRADiffStreakL10
 Boston Red Sox208.714--11-59-314899+49Won 28-2
 New York Yankees1710.6302.511-56-5125114+11Won 27-3
 Baltimore Orioles1712.5863.57-510-7146121+25Won 16-4
 Tampa Bay Rays1215.4447.58-44-11113114-1Lost 25-5
 Toronto Blue Jays1019.34510.56-104-9106150-44Lost 22-8
 CentralWLPctGBHomeRoadRSRADiffStreakL10
 Kansas City Royals1510.600--8-47-611398+15Won 27-3
 Detroit Tigers1611.593--10-46-7134107+27Won 17-3
 Minnesota Twins1212.5002.57-65-698101-3Won 15-5
 Cleveland Indians1213.4803.04-68-7126109+17Won 47-3
 Chicago White Sox1215.4444.07-75-897109-12Won 25-5
 WestWLPctGBHomeRoadRSRADiffStreakL10
 Texas Rangers1711.607--8-49-712194+27Lost 25-5
 Oakland Athletics1613.5521.59-87-5162142+20Lost 14-6
 Seattle Mariners1317.4335.09-84-9103131-28Won 16-4
 Los Angeles Angels1018.3577.06-74-11117148-31Lost 13-7
 Houston Astros821.2769.54-94-12118168-50Lost 33-7
 National League
 EastWLPctGBHomeRoadRSRADiffStreakL10
 Atlanta Braves1711.607--8-49-711588+27Lost 24-6
 Washington Nationals1514.5172.59-76-7101116-15Won 25-5
 Philadelphia Phillies1316.4484.57-86-8107130-23Won 15-5
 New York Mets1115.4235.07-84-7126124+2Won 13-7
 Miami Marlins821.2769.55-113-1081131-50Lost 24-6
 CentralWLPctGBHomeRoadRSRADiffStreakL10
 St. Louis Cardinals1711.607--7-510-6127100+27Won 37-3
 Pittsburgh Pirates1612.5711.08-48-8116114+2Won 16-4
 Milwaukee Brewers1413.5192.59-75-6127125+2Lost 25-5
 Cincinnati Reds1514.5172.512-43-10128106+22Lost 24-6
 Chicago Cubs1117.3936.05-76-10100117-17Lost 16-4
 WestWLPctGBHomeRoadRSRADiffStreakL10
 Colorado Rockies1711.607--9-38-8148119+29Won 14-6
 San Francisco Giants1612.5711.08-48-8124117+7Won 35-5
 Arizona Diamondbacks1513.5362.08-87-5121108+13Lost 35-5
 Los Angeles Dodgers1314.4813.57-86-691115-24Lost 16-4
 San Diego Padres1117.3936.05-76-10107131-24Won 16-4
x-Clinched Playoff Spot; y-Division Champ
Last updated Friday, May 3, 2013 3:31 pm EDT
Now looking back to my predictions for the American League from March 28, 2013, my picks for the AL are all screwed up. The only teams that I have correctly picked (if the season ended today) were the Houston Astros. Not very surprising there. The Boston Red Sox lead the majors with a 20-8 record playing gritty ball backed by some damn good pitching by Clay Bucholz and John Lester. The Yankees are also playing gritty ball leading them to a 17-11 record. Baltimore is where I thought they would be in the middle of the pack with a 17-12 record and Tampa is starting slow at 12-15. The Blue Jays are playing some bad ball amid injuries and failed expectations totally busting my prediction for the AL East with a dreary 10-19.  I know I said we need to see how this team plays together before crowning them with any championship but are the Blue Jays really this bad? Are the Boston Red Sox really this good?

Weather has played havoc on games played in the Midwest especially with snow cancelling many games. So in the AL West, Kansas City leads the division with a 15-12 record with Detroit hot on their heels with a 16-11 record. The Twins have played the least amount of games in the majors and are at .500 with a 12-12 record while Cleveland who looked like they were going to get demolished all season are actually one game under .500 with a 12-13 record. The White Sox are the bottom dwellers with a 12-15 record. Is this the season that Kansas City finally plays to the expectations and potential people have been saying that they have with their talented players and prospects?

In the West, the once again under-performing Angels are ruining my picks. First in the division are the Yu Darvish lead Texas Rangers with a 17-11 record followed by the balanced Oakland A's with a 16-13 record. After that the division takes a dip with the Seattle Mariners at 13-17 and the Angels at 10-18 and the Astros at 8-21. Can the Angels rebound in time to catch up to the Rangers and Athletics before being buried in the AL West?

My picks for the National League are a bit better compared to today's standings. In the National League East, my picks are almost on point with the exception of the flip-flop of Atlanta and Washington being one and two in the division. The Braves after a torrid start have come back down to earth with a 17-11 record while the Nationals are right behind them with a 15-14 record. The rest of the division is Philles at 13-16, New York at 11-15 and the dreadful Miami Marlins at 8-21.

The Central has the tightest race in the National League. The St. Louis Cardinals are in first with a 17-11 record. The Pirates are hot on their heels with a 16-12 record, Milwaukee at 14-13, Cincinnati at 15-14 and the Chicago Cubs joining their American League neighbors the White Sox in last place at 11-17. The Reds were my pick to end up in first place so we'll see how Dusty Baker leads this team in the months to come.

In the West, the surprising Colorado Rockies are leading the division with a 17-11 record. The healthy duo of Carlos Gonzalez and Troy Tulowitzski are crushing the ball in the way the team imagined when they were both signed to long term deals. The Giants are right behind them at 16-12 and the in third Diamondbacks at 15-13. The Los Angeles Dodgers are sitting at a disappointing 13-14 and the Padres are where I thought they would be at 11-17. Injuries and slumping players have wreaked havoc on the Dodgers who came into the season with high expectations due to the arrival of new management and their high spending. Will the team gel and play to the degree that many expected them to play? Time will tell on that one.

So keep you eyes glued to the standings and I'll return to them at another point in the season to see where everyone stands.

Sisco Kid

Thursday, April 4, 2013

Beasts of the National League

Here's Part II of who I think the best team in each division in the National League.

National League East
 If yesterday's performance of Bryce Harper and Stephen Strasburg is any indication, the Washington Nationals and their fans are having dreams of October World Series baseball in Washington D.C. This team was loaded last season and as hard as it is to believe they actually improved themselves. Gone is Michael Morse in a trade with the Oakland A's right-hander A.J. Cole (who was the pitching prospect of the trade that brought Gio Gonzalez from the Oakland A’s to the Nationals). Added is Denard Span who will give veteran support to an outfield that is made up by phenom Bryce Harper and the bearded wonder Jason Werth. The Infield is anchored by Adam LaRoche who resigned with the Nationals after a career season along with Ryan Zimmerman, Danny Espinoza and Ian Desmond. Mid Season acquisition Kurt Suzuki will be manning the rotation from behind the plate.

If the starting rotation was good last season behind Stephen Strasburg, Gio Gonzalez and Jordan Zimmerman it will only get better with the addition of Dan Haren. Haren comes over from the American League with something to prove. If he can stay healthy, this gives the Nats a formidable four man front. Ross Detwiller seems to be the fifth starter for now.

Where the Nats seemed to improve the most was with the signing of Rafael Soriano to be the closer. Soriano shined in his opportunity to close for the New York Yankees last season and will be backed up by 8th inning man Tyler Clippard and former closer Drew Storen.

With the innings cap removed from Strasburg and with Bryce Harper continuing to mature into the dominant player that many think he will be, the only real opponent the Nationals might have is themselves.

- 2013 Washington Nationals Projected Lineup

National League Central
The Reds will try to rebound from last season's collapse in the NLDS by once again winning the National League Central division. The team led by franchise player Joey Votto will be a dominant force in the NL. Backed up by Brandon Phillips, Shin Soo Choo, Jay Bruce and Todd Frazer, the Reds lineup is able to quickly pile up runs on opposing pitching. Ryan Ludwick is also a part of the force but after yesterday's injury to his shoulder while sliding into 3rd base, it remains to see if they lose him for a significant amount of time.

The rotation is headed by Johnny Cueto with Mat Latos, Bronson Arroyo and Homer Bailey. The team finally ended the experiment of Aroldis Chapman becoming a starter by definitively stating that he will be the closer. Enough is enough. Leave him in the pen where he belongs. He will be backed up by free agent signing Jonathan Broxton, Sean Marshall and Jose Arredondo.

Dusty Baker has himself a well rounded squad that barring injury should make quick work of the National League Central

- 2013 Cincinnati Reds Projected Lineup

National League West
The San Francisco Giants have quietly put together what you might call a dynasty for today's modern game with two World Series titles in the last three seasons with a young group of players who seem to be destined to play together for years to come. Led by NL MVP Buster Posey the Giants are the team to beat in the NL West. The youth of this team can be seen with their infield of Brandon Belt and Pablo Sandoval on the corners and Brandon Crawford at short. Veteran Marco Scutaro will be the everyday 2nd baseman for the Giants this season after having injury prone disappointment Freddy Sanchez at 2nd.

The outfield is led by Angel Pagan, who I have stated in my post Angel Pagan Esta Encendido (from my other  Baseball blogpage Latinoball) will have a breakout season based on the way he played last season and in this year's World Baseball Classic. Joining him is Hunter Pence, Gregor Blanco and the returning Andres Torres who spent a disappointing season with the New York Mets.

The rotation is the backbone that this team is built on. Led by Matt Cain, the rotation is made up of Ryan Vogelsong, Madison Baumgarner and the rejuvinated Barry Zito. I mean no disrespect whatsoever to two time NL Cy Young winner Tim Lincecum by not listing in above or next to Cain. But it seems that his troubles from last season (post season domination notwithstanding) seem to have carried over into this season. Coming into his final year of 2-year $40.5-million dollar deal there have been some rumors that he might not be with the Giants after this season. Though I would say losing Lincecum would be a mistake, if he doesn't pitch up to the standard that he established in the past his days in San Francisco might be numbered.

The closer role is Sergio Romo's with the seemingly upset Brian Wilson out of the picture. Wilson was not offered a contract by the Giants after only pitching one game for the Giants last season and season ending Tommy John surgery. Wilson rejected the team's minor league contract overture and remains a free agent. Backing up Romo is last year's bullpen group of Santiago Casilla, Ramon Ramirez, Jeremy Affeldt and Javier Lopez.

As I have told many people in the last few weeks, the San Francisco Giants (and the Tampa Bay Rays to a lesser degree due to a lack of financial resources that the Giants have) are building the team in the proper way. They are building from within, locking in those homegrown players and filling the blanks with timely trades and budget free agent signings. This method will prove to be main reason the Giants keep winning titles.

- 2013 San Francisco Giants Projected Lineup

Just a few points on the rest of the National League. In the East, there is only one real threat to the Nationals and that's the Atlanta Braves. Though the addition of the Upton brothers will definitely help ease the loss of Chipper Jones to retirement I'm not sure that is enough to match up toe to toe with the Nats. They need Dan Uggla to have a rebound season in order to have a chance. The Phillies are slowing down as the seasons go by falling into the same kind of pattern as the Yankees have with the reliance on primarily older veteran players. The Mets are in a positive rebuilding mode and their young players will get considerate playing time this season that will help separate those who are ready for the big leagues from those who aren't. The Marlins? Let's just say that Giancarlo Stanton can't do it all on his own.

In the Central, the St. Louis Cardinals are always a threat. The injury to David Freese and the loss of Chris Carpenter might loom large, as well as the loss of Kyle Loshe to division rival Milwaukee Brewers. Speaking of the Brewers, they seem to be stuck in a homing pattern of sorts. I'm not sure they are ready to make the next step. The Pittsburgh Pirates are still taking their baby steps to respectability and I think this season is the year they finally finish over .500. The Chicago Cubs are starting from the bottom up and Theo Epstein has his hands full but does have shining stars in Starlin Castro, Anthony Rizzo and Jeff Samardzija.

In the West, the cash flush Los Angeles Dodgers are spending to win now with a flurry of free agent signings in addition to last season's blockbuster trade with the Red Sox. Is it enough to displace the World Series champs as NL West Champions? Time will dictate that. The Arizona Diamondbacks will try to play for the Wild Card while the Colorado Rockies will rest their hopes on the health of franchise players Troy Tulowitzski and Carlos Gonzalez. The San Diego Padres continue to rebuild and hope that 3rd baseman Chase Hedley doesn't miss more time to his thumb injury than is already expected.

So there you go folks. What do you think. Agree? Disagree? Drop me a line to my email.

Sisco Kid.